The outcome of the Haryana assembly elections defied exit poll forecasts, as the BJP secured 48 seats out of the 90-member Assembly, increasing its 2019 seat count by eight. Following the BJP’s impressive victory for the third consecutive term in the state, psephologist and political activist Yogendra Yadav clarified his prediction and raised concerns about the election outcome. Prior to the results, Yadav had suggested that the majority of the population in Haryana was supporting the Congress and predicted a significant win for the party in the Assembly polls. Nevertheless, following the outcome, numerous individuals doubted the precision of Yadav’s forecast.
Yogendra Yadav had previously forecasted that the opposition INDIA alliance would secure a significant number of seats in the Lok Sabha elections, in contrast to other exit polls in June. After the outcomes were revealed, Yogendra Yadav received praise from numerous individuals on social networking sites for his precise forecasting. Nevertheless, since his forecasts for Haryana failed, Yadav released a video clarification on X, confessing to being “surprised” by the outcomes.
What is the reason for all the inquiries? To be honest, I don’t comprehend this at all. I had been wandering in Haryana for the past month. Yogendra Yadav mentioned that even though he had stated he would not make predictions about the election, he was still actively writing, speaking, and giving speeches under the assumption that Congress was in the lead.
I had repeatedly stated that the Congress would be the party to form the government. I was unable to figure out if it was a breeze or a tempest in support of the Congress. However, the events of today were utterly unlike anything before. It was not a breeze or a tempest.
Instead, the outcome was entirely different. I have traveled extensively throughout this election. I didn’t come across anyone, not even BJP supporters, who anticipated the BJP winning with a majority. Yogendra Yadav noted that the only topic of discussion was how much of a lead Congress would have.
The poll analyst observed that the BJP’s vote count usually decreased in Haryana assembly elections, according to trends from the last two Lok Sabha elections, a pattern anticipated in the current election. “We wandered on foot and chatted with regular voters.” I only speak when I do this. Yadav acknowledged the possibility of errors, stating, “I noticed the Congress was in the lead.”
Congress stated that in the process of counting, some EVMs were discovered to have a charge of up to 99%. It was discovered that the Congress did not do well in areas where the batteries were 99% charged, in contrast to areas with lower charge on the EVMs. This implies that by… I am not suggesting that this is entirely accurate. We lack evidence for this… He stated that the Election Commission must present all facts and provide an explanation to the nation in order to address any doubts in people’s minds.
We need to evaluate the errors we have committed. Did we not meet the required efforts to rival the BJP-RSS? The outcome of today’s events does not erase the impact of the farmers’ movement. He stated that the Congress became a significant participant in the electoral competition because of the movement.