In the exit poll results released on Wednesday, the BJP-led Mahayuti is projected to win by a significant margin in the Maharashtra Legislative Assembly. It is anticipated that Mahayuti will secure approximately 155 seats. Which exceeds the majority number of 145 by 10 seats. The India Block led by Congress is expected to win approximately 120 seats.
A strong battle is evident in Jharkhand. In the 81-member House, the BJP-led NDA is projected to win approximately 40 seats while India Block is expected to secure about 37 seats. The state’s predominant number is 41. Vote counting for the single-phase elections in Maharashtra will take place on November 23, while in Jharkhand, voting occurred over two phases on November 13 and 20.
The Matrix exit poll predicts that the BJP and its allies will win 150-170 seats in Maharashtra with a 48 percent vote share, while the Congress and its allies are expected to only secure 110-130 seats with a 42 percent vote share. The survey predicts that the others will receive 8 to 10 seats, holding a 10 percent vote share.
Matriz forecasted that BJP is set to become the largest party with 89-101 seats. Congress could secure between 39 and 47 seats, Shiv Sena between 37 and 45 seats, NCP between 17 and 26 seats, Shiv Sena (UBT) between 21 and 19 seats, and NCP-SCP between 35 and 43 seats.
According to the exit poll by People’s Pulse, Mahayuti of NDA was projected to win 175-195 seats in Maharashtra, whereas MVA was predicted to only win 85-112 seats, with others expected to secure 7-12 seats.
A new survey conducted by P-MARQ in Maharashtra predicted 137-157 seats for the NDA and 126-146 seats for India Bloc’s MVA, with 2-8 seats going to other parties.
Chanakya Strategies, another polling agency, forecasted that the Mahayuti would secure 152-160 seats and the MVA would win 130-138 seats in Maharashtra, with 6-8 seats going to other parties.
Conversely, a survey carried out by Electoral Edge predicted that the MVA would secure 150 seats in Maharashtra, with the BJP-led Mahayuti expected to win 121 seats and the remaining 20 seats going to other parties.
Lokshahi Rudra forecasts a tight competition between Mahayuti and MVA in Maharashtra, projecting 128-142 seats for the former and 125-140 seats for the latter. It has allocated 18-23 seats to different parties.
According to Lokpoll exit polls, Mahayuti is expected to win 115-128 seats with a share of 37-40 percent of the votes, while MVA is forecasted to secure 151-162 seats and receive a vote share of 43-46 percent. Estimates suggest that some are expected to receive 5-14 seats and a vote share of 16-19 percent.
There is a chance that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) may take control of the government in Jharkhand. Three exit polls on Wednesday all predicted the same outcome, with one showing the ruling JMM-led alliance securing a majority. There were two phases of voting for 81 assembly seats in Jharkhand.
The Matriz exit poll forecasts NDA to win 42-47 seats, India Block to win 25-30 seats, and others to win 0-4 seats. Yet, Axis My India forecasts India Block will dominate the state with 53 seats, with the NDA potentially winning 25 seats. This forecast stands out from others as many other surveys are showing a tight race.
People’s Pulse has estimated that NDA will secure 44-53 seats, India Bloc will get 25-37 seats, and others will receive 5-9 seats.
As per the Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll, the BJP-led NDA is expected to secure 45-50 seats in the state, while the JMM-led alliance could receive 35-38 seats. It was mentioned that some people might receive 3-5 seats.
The coalition led by BJP comprises All Jharkhand Students Union (AJSU), Janata Dal (United), and Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas). The coalition led by Jharkhand Mukti Morcha consists of Congress, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), and Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist). Voting for the second phase of Jharkhand assembly elections ended on Wednesday for 38 seats in 12 districts, with a turnout of approximately 67.59 percent until 5 pm.
By-elections took place on Wednesday for a combined 15 assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, and Kerala. Voting occurred for 9 seats in UP, 4 in Punjab, and one seat each in Kerala and Uttarakhand. The outcome will be announced on November 23rd. Katehari, Karhal, Mirapur, Ghaziabad, Majhawan, Sisamau, Khair, Phulpur, and Kundarki in Uttar Pradesh all had elections.
The Matrix exit poll suggests that the BJP is expected to win the most seats in Uttar Pradesh. It is anticipated that the BJP coalition will secure seven seats in the state, whereas the SP is predicted to secure two seats.
During the 2022 assembly elections, BJP emerged victorious in Ghaziabad, Phulpur, Majhawan, and Khair seats in Uttar Pradesh, while RLD won the seat in Meerapur. In addition, SP also secured victories in Kundarki, Karhal, Sisamau, and Katehari constituencies. The UP assembly by-election is viewed as a prelude to the state assembly elections scheduled for 2027. Both the BJP and SP, the main political parties of Uttar Pradesh, are asserting their triumph in this electoral contest. The Uttar Pradesh by-election results are scheduled to be announced on November 23.
The outcome of the by-elections for 7 assembly seats in Rajasthan, which took place on November 13, is scheduled to be announced on November 23. By-elections were conducted on seven constituencies including Dausa, Deoli Uniara, Jhunjhunu Khinvsar, Chaurasi, Salumbhar, and Ramgarh. Fierce competition was witnessed on the Deoli Uniara and Khinvsar constituencies. The Bharat Adivasi Party (BAP) and Rashtriya Loktantrik Party (RLP), who were once allies of Congress, each hold 1 seat out of the 7 total seats. Congress holds 4 seats, while BJP also holds one seat.
Elections took place on November 13 in four constituencies of Bihar – Imamganj, Belaganj, Tarari and Ramgarh. The outcome of the by-election will be revealed on November 23 in this scenario. The by-elections taking place on all four seats in Bihar are seen as a prelude to the assembly elections scheduled for the following year. It is claimed that the alliance leading in this by-election will have an advantage in the upcoming elections next year.
This time, although India Alliance still holds three out of four seats, the main competition is intriguing. The primary competition is between the two coalitions, however Jaan Suraj led by Prashant Kishor is also showing full force. If we examine the formula of the four positions, the reputation of favoritism is also in question.
The primary competition in Imamganj and Belaganj of Gaya, Tarari of Ara, and Ramgarh assembly seat of Kaimur is expected to be between Mahagathbandhan (India Alliance) and NDA. India Alliance had majority of three out of four seats previously, however, the current competition is noteworthy. The primary competition is happening between the two coalitions, although Jaan Suraj, led by Prashant Kishor, is also actively participating. When examining the formula for the four positions, the reputation of favoritism is also a factor.